A Four Corners upper level high pressure system has trapped moisture across the western two-thirds of the state. This allowed showers and storms to continue to pop up along and west of the Central Mountain Chain earlier this afternoon. Shower and thunderstorm activity will continue to dissipate overnight. Mild conditions are expected statewide.
Similar conditions are expected Tuesday, with a calm and clear start to the day before storms form over the high terrain by the early afternoon and move into lower elevations. Moisture will move east into Tuesday afternoon with the high pressure. There will be much better chances to see showers and storms east of the Central Mountain Chain Tuesday compared to Monday. Temperatures will continue to warm into Tuesday and Wednesday, before more moisture arrives by the mid to late week.
Starting Wednesday, low pressure will begin to build off the Baja Peninsula. This will draw up a lot of moisture from the Pacific into New Mexico. Warm temperatures will persist through Wednesday afternoon. The moisture will then combine with a backdoor cold front on Thursday to bring even more widespread moisture across the state. Heavy rainfall along with thunderstorms are expected to pick up Wednesday and Thursday, getting strongest on Friday. This unsettled weather and near record moisture will continue to impact New Mexico into this weekend with below average temperatures returning statewide.