Easter will bring elevated fire risks across most of New Mexico. Don’t burn outside tomorrow. Folks out east will probably have a stronger breeze, which will come in handy for the 90s forecast in Roswell.
Monday and Tuesday look more interesting. The GFS solution is closer to the Euro and NAM, which is a slow moving closed low. This is the best case scenario for widespread precipitation. This will also lengthen the duration of this particular storm system. Moisture will be available from Monday night to Wednesday morning. Monday will bring some heavy evening thunderstorms over the Sangres and possibly near Tucumcari. The low hangs tight in New Mexico on Tuesday. This will bring another, bigger round of rain across the state with marginal severe weather threats. Temperatures will be refreshing before we quickly head back to above average temperatures by Thursday.