Most of the state will warm up this afternoon, adding 5° – 10° to Monday’s highs. One exception will be the northeast. Thanks to a back door cold front, temperatures there will stay on the cool side before warming up on Wednesday.
A southwesterly flow will take over across the state for Wednesday. This will allow temperatures to warm up across the entire state, but it will also allow moisture to be pulled into parts of the state. West Central New Mexico to the Northern Mountains will have a shot a few showers by Thursday. Albuquerque could see spot showers, but the bigger story will be gusty winds extending from central sections through the east.
This is out ahead of a storm system that will approach the state late this week. Right now, models want to take the core of the storm north of New Mexico, leaving the best shower chances across Southern Colorado and far Northern New Mexico. Most of the state will only experience cooling temperatures and gusty winds this weekend.