ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (KRQE) – Voters will cast their ballots on Tuesday to decide who they want to see as Albuquerque’s next mayor. The heated race is expected to be a close one between incumbent Mayor Tim Keller, Bernalillo County Sheriff Manny Gonzales, and talk show host Eddy Aragon.

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The biggest question on everyone’s mind is if one of the candidates will get above the 50% threshold to secure the win. Tuesday’s votes are crucial in this race.

Political experts believe the race could be tight. Getting over 50% of the votes is needed to avoid a run-off in the race for mayor. This is going to be the number one goal for any campaign because as we’ve seen in the past, anything can happen in a run-off.

KRQE News 13 political expert Gabe Sanchez believes one candidate should be able to get past that 50% mark on Tuesday and that could be incumbent Mayor Tim Keller. “I would probably put it 55%, is what I’m expecting to happen if there’s no major drama down the homestretch,” said Sanchez.

Sanchez believes Albuquerque voters have given Mayor Keller a lot of leeway when it comes to how he handled the COVID-19 pandemic. However, Sanchez also mentioned that crime is a big issue that voters could use as a deciding factor which could give Gonzales an edge.

Polls show that Aragon will likely come in last in this race. In some polls, Keller is barely edging over the 50% threshold which could mean a run-off between the top two candidates which political experts say will likely be between Gonzales and Keller.