Mark Ronchetti's Bust Potential

The KRQE "Bust Potential" was developed by Chief Meteorologist Mark Ronchetti while he worked in Portland, Oregon.  Before a storm arrived Mark would brief the newsroom on how strong the storm would be. 

Inevitably, the first question was what are the odds that this will really happen?  So Mark began to include the odds that the storm will not happen or will be much weaker than predicted.  Alas, the "Bust Potential" was born. 

The "Bust Potential" is a percentage breakdown on the likelihood of bad weather.  It's based on the degree or agreement of the weather models as well as Mark's confidence in the atmospheric setup for a given storm. 

The "Bust Potential" is designed to give viewers as much information as possible about how our meteorologists feel the weather will play out.